Data-driven analysis of US and global economic indicators. GDP, inflation, employment, and monetary policy tracked using FRED and Federal Reserve data.
→ Full Data DashboardSourced from FRED — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Updated as data is released.
The U.S. trade deficit swung $81B in a year. GDP near-stalled at 0.7% in Q4 2025. Consumer sentiment sits at 56.6. Here's what the official numbers actually reveal when examined in sequence.
Michigan sentiment fell to 56.4 in January 2026 — a 21% drop year-over-year — while GDP growth stalled at 0.7% in Q4 2025. Five FRED data series document the divergence between macro stability and consumer-side stress.
Real GDP expanded just 1.4% annualized in Q4 2025, down sharply from 4.4% in Q3. With core PCE at 3.0% and unemployment at 4.4%, BEA data presents a mixed picture heading into 2026.
Real GDP growth collapsed from 4.4% in Q3 to 0.7% in Q4 2025 — the steepest quarterly deceleration in two years. Federal Reserve FRED data shows 4.4% unemployment, near-zero inflation, and a declining personal saving rate.
A data-driven analysis of Federal Reserve policy signals using FRED economic indicators and the yield curve.
Breaking down the most recent quarterly GDP figures and what leading indicators suggest about the trajectory ahead.
New Economic Data analysis published daily at 7am PST. Articles appear here automatically after publishing.
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