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Budget & Deficit

Budget &
Deficit

Tracking the federal deficit, national debt trajectory, and long-term fiscal sustainability. Sourced from CBO projections, OMB budget data, and FRED economic indicators.

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Live Fiscal Data
FY Deficit
Deficit / GDP
National Debt
Debt / GDP
Live Fiscal Indicators

Sourced from FRED, US Treasury Fiscal Data, Congressional Budget Office, and Office of Management & Budget.

Annual Deficit
Deficit % GDP
Debt / GDP
Interest / GDP
National Debt · Live
~$3.8M/min
Annual Deficit as % of GDP
FRED FYFSGDA188S · 60 obs asc · Orange = deficit · Green = surplus · 0% balanced, -3% Maastricht threshold
Interest on Debt as % of GDP
FRED FYOIGDA188S · 60 obs asc · Historical avg ~2% (dashed) · Rising sharply as rates increase
Federal Deficit vs. Surplus — Annual Since 1980
FRED FYFSD · 50 obs asc · USD Billions · Red = deficit · Green = surplus · Surplus years: 1998–2001 under Clinton administration
CBO 10-Year Deficit Projections
CBO Budget & Economic Outlook, Jan 2025 Baseline · FY2025–FY2034 · USD Billions · Projections subject to legislative changes
Source: CBO Budget and Economic Outlook, Jan 2025 Baseline. Projections subject to legislative changes.
Debt Held by the Public as % of GDP
Historical: FRED GFDEGDQ188S · Projected: CBO Jan 2025 baseline through 2034 · 100% reference dashed
Analysis & Reports

Budget & Deficit Reports

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Budget & Deficit

Federal Interest Payments Top $1 Trillion for First Time in U.S. History

In FY2025, federal net interest on the national debt crossed $1 trillion for the first time — now the second-largest budget line item, ahead of defense spending, with CBO projecting $2.1 trillion annually by 2036.

March 13, 2026 9 min read 6 sources
Read Analysis →
Budget & Deficit
The US Deficit Hit $1.83 Trillion in FY2024. Here's the Full Breakdown.

A data-driven accounting of every dollar the federal government spent beyond its revenues in FY2024, and what it means for the debt trajectory.

Coming Soon Read →
Budget & Deficit
CBO Projects Deficits Will Reach $2.5 Trillion by 2034. What's Driving It?

The Congressional Budget Office's latest 10-year baseline reveals an accelerating fiscal gap driven by mandatory spending growth and rising interest costs.

Coming Soon Read →
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New Budget & Deficit analysis published daily at 7am PST. Articles appear here automatically after publishing.

Data Sources
CBO — Congressional Budget Office OMB — Office of Mgmt & Budget FRED · St. Louis Fed US Treasury Fiscal Data
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